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Ground Reality

Kept margin is the measure.

Winning is not the measure. Every closed job reports the margin it realised against the margin it was bid at — by owner, delivery method and trade — so next quarter's estimating capacity goes to the work that pays, not the work you would merely win.

PL-01
MARGIN BID 8.4% · REALISED 7.6% · REALISATION 0.90× · SPECIMEN PORTFOLIO
BID-05 · BID VS REALISED · PER JOBBid AI · a head of GR Brain
REALISED ÷ BID · PER OWNER · PER TRADE

What it does

A win rate rewards the bids you priced cheapest, and says nothing about whether the work paid. Every job your firm closes out reports two numbers side by side instead: the margin it was bid at, and the margin it actually realised — measured from the same record the job was run on, so the comparison exists on the day the job closes rather than a quarter after it.

Sorted by owner, delivery method and trade, the pattern is usually blunt. One owner's work keeps 0.94× of the margin it is bid at; another's keeps 0.61× and has done for three years — and the wins were never the problem. Estimating capacity is the scarcest thing in a precon office, and this is the number that should decide where it goes. Where a category holds too few closed jobs to say anything, it reports the thinness instead of scoring it.

PL-02
MON WK-34 · 6 INVITATIONS · 2 CHASED AT 0.94× AND 0.91× REALISED · 4 DECLINED
SEQUENCE · CLOSED JOB → NEXT BID

In practice

  1. 01

    Close the job against its bid

    Final cost, final quantities and the hours actually spent are set against the bid line they were priced at. The comparison is drawn from the record the job was run on, so it is ready the week the job closes rather than at the year-end review.

  2. 02

    Sort by what a bid can choose

    Realisation is grouped by the things a bid/no-bid call can actually act on — owner, delivery method, contract form, trade mix and program length. Every group opens to the closed jobs behind it.

  3. 03

    Carry it into the next bid

    The measured shortfall goes back into the rate and the risk allowance the next bid carries. Categories with too few closed jobs are reported as thin, and the bid/no-bid decision stays with a person.

Spec

COMPARISON
MARGIN BID VS REALISED
GROUPED BY
OWNER · METHOD · TRADE
SOURCE
CLOSED-OUT RECORD
THIN EVIDENCE
REPORTED AS THIN

0.90×

Margin realised against margin bid — specimen portfolio

CONTACT · SALES · REPLY 1 BUS. DAY

Find out which work actually paid.

Give us two years of closed-out jobs against the bids that won them. We will show you the margin each one realised, by owner and by trade.